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Daily Update
Restoration Hardware (RH) stock is trading over 10% lower as it missed earnings expectations despite announcing a stock split. Because Restoration Hardware reports a month lat...
Consumer Confidence Rises
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence index unexpectedly...
Yield Curve Recession Warning
The U.S. Treasury yield curve continues to flatten and, in some cases, invert and therefore warn of a coming recession. The graph below shows the sharp flattening in the Treas...
VIX Fades Despite A Wall Of Worry
The VIX index gauging expected equity volatility is normalizing despite a sharp pick-up in yields, hawkish Fed rhetoric, and no resolution to the Russian conflict. The VIX ten...
Chips Ahoy! Semiconductor Stocks Lead the Way
On Thursday, Nvidia (NVDA) led the market and other chip stocks higher. It appears chip investors are enthused with their investor day presentation. The Finviz heat map below...
Adobe Shares Fall Due to the Russian Conflict
So far, it has been predominately the defense, materials, agricultural, and energy companies most affected by the Russian invasion. Add technology company Adobe to the list. O...
Yield Surge Yet Stocks Rally On
Over the last few months, bond yields have surged higher. Higher yields are a tax of sorts on economic activity. The steadily growing debt to GDP ratio strengthens the relatio...
Interest Rate Cuts On The Horizon
On Monday, Powell reiterated the need to normalize monetary policy. Per his speech: "There is an obvious need to move expeditiously to return the stance of monetar...
Positive Note As The S&P 500 Rallies On Fed
The S&P 500 capped off last week on a positive note with a strong rally to close above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages. The last time the index closed above both...
Equities Rally into Quadruple Witching
As we anticipated, stocks are rallying out of the FOMC meeting after fears of a 0.50% rate hike did not materialize. The S&P 500 finished above its downtrend line yesterda...
