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Daily Update

Retail Is Fearless: Buy The Dip Is On Steroids

Retail Is Fearless: Buy The Dip Is On Steroids

By Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 21, 2025 | Daily Market Commentary
Monday was a record-setting day. Stocks opened down 1% on news that Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating to AA. While some perceived the downgrade as problematic, retail investo...
USA Versus JNJ

USA Versus JNJ

By Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 20, 2025 | Daily Market Commentary
Over the last fourteen years, as we share below, the US government credit rating has slipped from AAA to AA. Moody's was the first to cut the USA from AAA to AA in 2011. F...
The TLT Short Trade Is Crowded

The TLT Short Trade Is Crowded

By Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 19, 2025 | Daily Market Commentary
Short positions in TLT, the popular 20-year US Treasury Bond ETF, have spiked to over 130 million shares, up from 107 million last month. TLT has 541 million shares outstanding. Cons...
Bank Regulators Will Help The Treasury

Bank Regulators Will Help The Treasury

By Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 16, 2025 | Daily Market Commentary
Per an article in the Financial Times titled US Poised To Dial Bac...
Homebuyers Are Paying More For Less

Homebuyers Are Paying More For Less

By Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 15, 2025 | Daily Market Commentary
Below our Market Trading Update, we share analysis from the Atlanta Fed showing that housing affordability has been at its worst in the last twenty years. This is unsurprising given...
Leverage For Retirement Plans: Is The Risk Appropriate?

Leverage For Retirement Plans: Is The Risk Appropriate?

By Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 14, 2025 | Daily Market Commentary
Bloomberg recently published,
Executive Order On Drug Prices Rattles Healthcare Sector

Executive Order On Drug Prices Rattles Healthcare Sector

By Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 13, 2025 | Daily Market Commentary
Despite the weekend’s positive news on China trade negotiations and the associated jump in most stock prices, the healthcare sector was hit hard. The culprit is an executive order...
Stealth QE Or Routine QT? Unpacking Recent Fed Activity

Stealth QE Or Routine QT? Unpacking Recent Fed Activity

By Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 12, 2025 | Daily Market Commentary
Tweets like the one we share below allude that the Fed is doing stealth QE, despite the fact that they publicly claim to be conducting QT. Given the importance of the Fed balance she...
Smart Money Or Dumb Money? Who Will Be Right

Smart Money Or Dumb Money? Who Will Be Right

By Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 9, 2025 | Daily Market Commentary
The concepts of “smart money” versus “dumb money” refer to the level of investors’ information and experience. Smart money, typically institutional investors and often seas...
Market Is Tepid Over China Developments: Three Conclusions

Market Is Tepid Over China Developments: Three Conclusions

By Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 8, 2025 | Daily Market Commentary
“BREAKING: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says he will meet with Chinese officials in Switzerland to begin trade talks with China.” A month ago, when markets were gros...