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Daily Update
At Wednesday’s FOMC press conference, Chair Warsh made it clear that the Fed’s number one goal is returning inflation to its 2% target. The reaction in...
A September Rate Hike Is On The Table
Despite the market assigning a moderate 35% chance of a rate hike at yesterday’s FOMC meeting, the Fed left rates unchanged. However, three dissenting vot...
Will High Oil Prices Force The Fed’s Hand
The FOMC meeting concludes today with the rate decision at 2:00 PM ET, followed by Warsh’s press conference at 2:30 PM. Heading into today’s announcemen...
Chip Momentum Is Fading Despite Strong Earnings
Last week, chip maker Intel delivered its seventh consecutive quarterly earnings beat with revenue growing 25% year over year, its fastest growth since 2011...
Small Caps Are Quietly Winning While Mega Caps Wobble
Thursday’s selloff, led by Alphabet down 7% and Tesla down nearly 15%, was a great example of a story that has been unfolding throughout most of the year....
Are Oil Prices Driving The Iran Conflict?
In physics, kinetic equilibrium describes a system in which forces are balanced, and motion continues at a steady, unchanging rate. Felix Vezina-Poirier of...
Prediction Markets: A New Sentiment Gauge For Traders
Prediction markets leader Polymarket has a daily contract that bets on whether the S&P 500 opens higher the next trading day. Yesterday’s contract, as...
Alphabet And Intel: Q2 AI Earnings Kick Off
Alphabet reports earnings after today’s close, and Intel follows tomorrow. Together, they provide a first clue as to whether AI-related spending and inves...
Moonshot AI Raises Red Flags In The AI Industry
Moonshot AI, a Chinese company, just released AI model Kimi K3. Kimi K3 is a 2.8 trillion-parameter open-source AI model that the company claims is the larg...
The Deficit Spending Problem With A Non-Political Fix
The national deficit debate usually focuses on entitlement and defense spending. While they have merit, they miss the single largest driver of America’s d...
